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Dio Pouerie
Dio Pouerie
The two-year yield jumped 40 basis points in a week. Producer prices help size the Fed's next hike.

Nov 13, 2026

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9 min read

The two-year yield jumped 40 basis points in a week. Producer prices help size the Fed's next hike.

Two Fed presidents split on it within hours, Cisco beat and raised and gave it back, and the yen is back at 160.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
Sunday, Nvidia's board said "confidence." Wednesday, it reportedly met on removal.

Nov 12, 2026

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9 min read

Sunday, Nvidia's board said "confidence." Wednesday, it reportedly met on removal.

The stock is indicated 7% lower, an exit bet jumped from 17 cents to 72, and bonds reopen into a 2026 dollar high.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
$10 billion in sales, $10.9 billion in losses. Who pays for AI now?

Nov 11, 2026

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9 min read

$10 billion in sales, $10.9 billion in losses. Who pays for AI now?

OpenAI's quarter, CoreWeave's $846 million interest bill and a Fed official naming AI financing. Bonds are shut today.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
Strategy is buying back its own stock faster than bitcoin.

Nov 10, 2026

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8 min read

Strategy is buying back its own stock faster than bitcoin.

It spent 2.3x more on its preferred than on coins. NYSE picked Avalanche, and bitcoin barely moved. MSCI rules Wednesday.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
CoreWeave’s stock bounced 6%. Its bonds still yield 16%.

Nov 9, 2026

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9 min read

CoreWeave’s stock bounced 6%. Its bonds still yield 16%.

The AI builders report this week. Lenders already gave their verdict.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
The December hike bet sits near 70%. Tuesday's CPI gets the next vote.

Nov 8, 2026

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6 min read

The December hike bet sits near 70%. Tuesday's CPI gets the next vote.

Plus two Iran contracts still in dispute, a Senate trade waiting on its fine print and $125 billion of Treasury supply.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
Six Iran bets settled in three hours. Oil still fell 8.7% two days later.

Nov 7, 2026

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6 min read

Six Iran bets settled in three hours. Oil still fell 8.7% two days later.

The contracts priced the fine print. Crude priced the speeches. Here is what each one actually said this week.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
The Bank of England’s forecasts assume $108 oil. Brent is at $98.

Nov 6, 2026

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8 min read

The Bank of England’s forecasts assume $108 oil. Brent is at $98.

Bailey hiked anyway and said 4% likely isn’t the last. Hours later, Wall Street had its worst day since April 2025.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
Oil is down 20% this week. Iran hasn’t agreed to anything.

Nov 5, 2026

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9 min read

Oil is down 20% this week. Iran hasn’t agreed to anything.

Brent fell 8.7% to $94.62 with no deal signed. Airlines jumped 8%, refiners sank, and $120 is still on the table.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
Meta's order book looked like April. Its borrowing cost didn't.

Nov 4, 2026

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9 min read

Meta's order book looked like April. Its borrowing cost didn't.

Plus: Democrats sweep Congress, hike bets rise as bonds rally, and Iran hardens while Brent slips.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
Election Day, and the Senate is already trading at 76 cents.

Nov 3, 2026

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8 min read

Election Day, and the Senate is already trading at 76 cents.

Thin order books, fine-print payouts and a Qeshm strike that settled six bets overnight. Here’s what markets price going in.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
Amazon can borrow up to $80 billion against its hardware. Just not until 2027.

Nov 2, 2026

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9 min read

Amazon can borrow up to $80 billion against its hardware. Just not until 2027.

The AI build now comes with collateral. S&P turned negative on Meta. Apple reports tonight.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
One night, four shocks: Amazon, Intel, Binance and Iran

Oct 30, 2026

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8 min read

One night, four shocks: Amazon, Intel, Binance and Iran

A record margin sold off, a beat fell 26%, a breach was put at $6.3 billion, and strike odds spiked then faded.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
Same AI boom. A $400 billion difference.

Oct 29, 2026

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8 min read

Same AI boom. A $400 billion difference.

“Microsoft got paid for growth. Alphabet got billed for capex. PCE at 8:30.”

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
Robinhood now makes more from prediction markets than from crypto

Oct 28, 2026

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8 min read

Robinhood now makes more from prediction markets than from crypto

Event contracts brought in $173 million to crypto’s $120 million. The stock was still quoted 8% lower. Plus oil back above $100 on Fed day.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
Brazil's Treasury bought back the bonds it had just stopped selling

Oct 27, 2026

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8 min read

Brazil's Treasury bought back the bonds it had just stopped selling

Plus a $40B Celestica outlook, two regulator posts in the middle of FICO's 13% drop, and an Iran market priced to the election calendar.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
The polls said toss-up. The money said Bolsonaro. The voters said Lula.

Oct 26, 2026

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9 min read

The polls said toss-up. The money said Bolsonaro. The voters said Lula.

Oil slips as diplomats meet in Tehran, Musk says many neoclouds won't make it, and Big Tech reports into a Fed week.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
Oil Hit a Five-Month High | Bonds Rallied Anyway |Western Digital’s Revenue Surge

Oct 23, 2026

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6 min read

Oil Hit a Five-Month High | Bonds Rallied Anyway |Western Digital’s Revenue Surge

Brent settled at $113 as attacks reached Saudi oil sites. The 10-year closed below 5%. Western Digital guided 20% above forecasts and still got sold.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
Saudi Oil Under Fire | $112 Brent Meets a Bond Rally | Meta Spends Past Its Cash

Oct 22, 2026

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7 min read

Saudi Oil Under Fire | $112 Brent Meets a Bond Rally | Meta Spends Past Its Cash

A drone reached Shaybah, the field behind the Gulf’s backup routes. The 10-year fell to 5.09% anyway. Meta’s capex topped its cash flow by $2 billion.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
Brent Took Back the Mediation Dip | United Guided Off the Fuel Curve | Musk Says Merge, With No Terms

Oct 21, 2026

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7 min read

Brent Took Back the Mediation Dip | United Guided Off the Fuel Curve | Musk Says Merge, With No Terms

Brent is back above $110 after Tehran set its terms. Britain's inflation hit 3.5% on fuel. Musk called a Tesla-SpaceX deal "a good idea" with nothing agreed.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
AI Stocks Bounced | An AI Campus's Debt Hit 80 Cents | Cliffs Jumped 16% on 2027

Oct 20, 2026

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5 min read

AI Stocks Bounced | An AI Campus's Debt Hit 80 Cents | Cliffs Jumped 16% on 2027

The AI trade bounced Monday. The debt behind it didn't. Plus a steelmaker that sold 2027 and France's riot bill.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
Oil Fell on the Threats | Microsoft Walked From Essex | EQT Bought Garbage Trucks

Oct 19, 2026

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5 min read

Oil Fell on the Threats | Microsoft Walked From Essex | EQT Bought Garbage Trucks

Brent slid 2% after a weekend of mine claims. The stress moved to French bonds and an AI site with no power.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
Warsh Went Quiet | Oracle’s Default Insurance Hit a Record | PPI Jumped 1.3% | Bitcoin Followed Seoul

Oct 16, 2026

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7 min read

Warsh Went Quiet | Oracle’s Default Insurance Hit a Record | PPI Jumped 1.3% | Bitcoin Followed Seoul

The October hike bet halved overnight. TSMC says AI demand is “extremely robust.” The money behind it got pricier.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
Hot inflation, lower yields and a Kospi circuit breaker

Oct 15, 2026

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7 min read

Hot inflation, lower yields and a Kospi circuit breaker

Core prices beat forecasts. Then the 10-year closed lower and AI credit took the hit.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
Goldman crushed it. JPMorgan didn't. Now ASML faces the AI verdict.

Oct 14, 2026

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7 min read

Goldman crushed it. JPMorgan didn't. Now ASML faces the AI verdict.

September CPI drops at 8:30 AM. Williams kills the 2027 hike. Corporate buybacks reopen tomorrow. Three stories. One morning.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1

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