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Six Iran bets settled in three hours. Oil still fell 8.7% two days later.

Nov 7, 2026

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6 min read

Six Iran bets settled in three hours. Oil still fell 8.7% two days later.

The contracts priced the fine print. Crude priced the speeches. Here is what each one actually said this week.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
The Bank of England’s forecasts assume $108 oil. Brent is at $98.

Nov 6, 2026

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8 min read

The Bank of England’s forecasts assume $108 oil. Brent is at $98.

Bailey hiked anyway and said 4% likely isn’t the last. Hours later, Wall Street had its worst day since April 2025.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
Oil is down 20% this week. Iran hasn’t agreed to anything.

Nov 5, 2026

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9 min read

Oil is down 20% this week. Iran hasn’t agreed to anything.

Brent fell 8.7% to $94.62 with no deal signed. Airlines jumped 8%, refiners sank, and $120 is still on the table.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
Meta's order book looked like April. Its borrowing cost didn't.

Nov 4, 2026

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9 min read

Meta's order book looked like April. Its borrowing cost didn't.

Plus: Democrats sweep Congress, hike bets rise as bonds rally, and Iran hardens while Brent slips.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
Election Day, and the Senate is already trading at 76 cents.

Nov 3, 2026

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8 min read

Election Day, and the Senate is already trading at 76 cents.

Thin order books, fine-print payouts and a Qeshm strike that settled six bets overnight. Here’s what markets price going in.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
Amazon can borrow up to $80 billion against its hardware. Just not until 2027.

Nov 2, 2026

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9 min read

Amazon can borrow up to $80 billion against its hardware. Just not until 2027.

The AI build now comes with collateral. S&P turned negative on Meta. Apple reports tonight.

Dio Pouerie
Bo Nichols
Dio Pouerie, +1
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